News
IWP
114.14
+0.03%
0.03
M2 Money Grew At Annual 8% Compound Rate Since March 2020
Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis M2 Money Grew At Annual 8% Compound Rate Since March 2020 Mar. 28, 2024. Money seems to have gone into the financial sector rather than into the purchase of real goods and services. M2 money stock has been declining since spring 2022, but over the past four years it has grown at a compound 8.0% annually.
Seeking Alpha · 6h ago
S&P 500 Earnings: Market Cap Weight Vs. Earnings Weight Updated
Seeking Alpha · 8h ago
All Or Nothing Comes Back
Yesterday was the first all-or-nothing day of the year. The S&P 500 registered an "All or Nothing Day" yesterday with a gain of 86 bps. The gain occurred on a very strong breadth with the market trading in the same direction. Recently, all- or-nothing days have been hard to come by. The last such day was three months ago.
Seeking Alpha · 12h ago
Quick Thoughts: Do Elections Matter For Markets?
Home Market Outlook Today's Market Quick Thoughts: Do Elections Matter For Markets? Stephen Dover of Franklin Templeton Institute examines the major parties and their potential implications on capital markets in the US 2024 presidential elections. The field is set for the presidential elections for the US in 2024. Dover also discusses the potential implications of competing policy outcomes for capital markets.
Seeking Alpha · 18h ago
Waller Pushes On Open Door: Push For Patience Lifts The Dollar, Complicating Japanese Efforts
Comments by Fed Governor Waller, urging patience on rates has helped the greenback extend its recent gains. Poor German data has weighed on the euro, taking the single currency to new lows for the month. Japanese officials are signaling their willingness to intervene in the foreign exchange market to strengthen the yen. The 10-year US Treasury yield is up three basis points.
Seeking Alpha · 20h ago
No Matter What The Fed Does, The Lack Of Bears Is Worrisome
Investor fixation on when the Fed will drop interest rates overlooks the fact that almost everyone is already bullish. The low short position of money managers in S&P 500 futures and the overwhelmingly bullish sentiment in the Investor Intelligence survey suggest that there are "too many" bulls in the market. This indicates that the market may be lower a year from now, even if the Fed lowers rates.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Money Supply Dips For First Time Since November
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Q1 2024 CIO Overview And Outlook
Home Market Outlook Today's Market Q1 2024 CIO Overview And Outlook. Growth of the US economy continues to slow, but recession is elusive. The outlook for the Fed seems to range from seven rate cuts to as few as three. Electoral politics had little bearing on stock market pricing in the first quarter of 2024.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Heightened Threat Of Japanese Intervention Pushes Greenback Away From JPY152
The dollar neared JPY152, setting a new 34-year high. Most of the G10 currencies are softer against the dollar but the yen. Chinese equities got thumped today, with the CSI 300 off nearly 1.2%. Gold is firm, recording a higher low for the third consecutive session as remains near $2200.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
What Are Markets Pricing In?
Major stock market indices in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are pricing in a significant rebound in growth throughout 2024. The areas of the market which are most forward-looking are looking increasingly priced to perfection. The more pro-cyclical and growth-sensitive sectors are yet to price in any material rebound.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
A Momentous Week For Monetary Policy Bodes Well For Markets
Bank of Japan raises rates for the first time in 17 years. Swiss National Bank becomes first developed central bank to cut rates in this rate cycle. The BOJ's decision to end negative interest rates is a vote of confidence in the Japanese economy. Five developed and seven emerging market central banks met last week.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
M2 Update - Still Looking Good
The Fed released the February money supply data, and there were no unwelcome surprises. M2 continues to shrink relative to the economy, and that's the reason inflation is likely to continue to fall. Currency in circulation rose at a 6.6% annual rate from 2010 to 2021. The demand for money exploded in the wake of the crisis.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
2024 Global Market Outlook - Q2 Update: Pent-Up Exuberance
Home Market Outlook Today's Market 2024 Global Market Outlook - Q2 Update: Pent-Up Exuberance. The U.S. Economy is expected to avoid a recession in 2024, but economic uncertainty remains high. The labor market is slowing down and lower-income households are under stress.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
Weakness In U.S. Investment Keeps The Focus On The Consumer
Weakness in U.S. Investment Keeps The Focus On The Consumer. Durable goods orders are a good lead indicator for broader capex spending in the US. Investment has lagged behind other parts of the economy. Consumer spending remains the focus for growth, but challenges are mounting.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
Negative Equity Risk Premium Estimates Persist For U.S. Equities
Home Market Outlook Today's Market Negative Equity Risk Premium Estimates Persist For U.S. Equities. The roaring US stock market has delivered red-hot gains in recent history but at the expense of future returns. The pushback is that artificial intelligence has changed the calculus. The case for incrementally adopting a defensive posture has a certain appeal.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
Technical Measures And Valuations - Does Any Of It Matter?
Technical measures and valuations all suggest the market is expensive, overbought, and exuberant. A recent BofA report shows that the increase in risk appetite has been the largest since March 2021. Valuations are a better measure of psychology in the short term, says Lance Roberts Investing Group Leader.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
An Update On The 'Investment Seesaw'
Home Market Outlook Gold & Precious Metals An Update On The 'Investment Seesaw' Mar. 26, 2024. We consider gold bullion and the S&P 500 Index to be effectively at opposite ends of an investment seesaw. The combination of the US stock market and gold is currently under-valued compared to the money supply.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
What Shifting Expectations About The Fed's Next Move Could Mean For Markets
Home Investing Strategy Portfolio Strategy What Shifting Expectations About The Fed's Next Move Could Mean For Markets. Anna Castro, Managing Director and Head of Retail Asset Allocation at TD Asset Management says what's important isn't the timing of a rate cut, but whether you remain invested. Inflation, interest rates and the markets.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
CEO Sentiment Is Slowly Improving In 2024
CEO Sentiment is Slowly Improving in 2024. CEO confidence seems to be rebounding after a volatile 2023. Bank of America survey says Wall Street's optimism is at its highest level since January 2022. Investor sentiment has also been improving as of late. LERI hits its lowest level in a year.
Seeking Alpha · 3d ago
Why We Stay Risk-On In The Short Term
U.S. Stocks hit record highs last week and 10-year yields fell as the Fed stuck with planned rate cuts. Japanese stocks gained on a cautious BOJ policy pivot. We see falling inflation, nearing interest rate cuts and solid corporate earnings supporting cheery risk sentiment.
Seeking Alpha · 3d ago
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