Expect Equity Market Corrections

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Expect Equity Market Corrections Apr. 23, 2024. Market corrections are a normal function of the equity market. The S&P 500 Index is now outperforming the Nasdaq 100 Index. Company outlooks will be an important indication of the year ahead.

Weekly Report: what happened at FFTY last week (0415-0419)?

Weekly Report: what happened at FFTY last week (0408-0412)?

TDAM CIO On Navigating The Markets After Strong Start To The First Quarter

Algorithmic (High Frequency) Trading Rears Its Ugly Head Again

High frequency trading accounts for as much as 70% of the volume in stocks traded on the U.S. Exchange. Bill Kort says computers are scanning for good economic news and bad news for stocks. He says the downside of high frequency trading is that it creates fear and distrust in the market.

Weekly Report: what happened at FFTY last week (0401-0405)?

S&P 500 Pulls Back As Fed Officials Get Lost On Road To Rate Cuts

The S&P 500 pulled back from last week's record-high close. The index ended the first trading week of April 2024 at 5,204.34. On Monday, 1 April 2024, signs that oil prices are likely to rise pushed up inflation expectations. Several Fed officials responded by trying to dial back expectations for when they will start cutting interest rates.

S&P 500 Earnings: New Quarter, Will The 'Upside Surprise' Factor Continue In 2024?

Home Earnings Analysis S&P 500 Earnings: New Quarter, Will The 'Upside Surprise' Factor Continue In 2024? Q4 ’23 EPS ended at $57.16, up from $54.69 at the end of the previous quarter. The forward 4-quarter estimate jumped this week to $251.58 from $242.94.

CDT Insider Sentiment Ratio March 2024: High Sentiment

Insider Sentiment Bounced Back in March. The composition of the market is exceptionally top-heavy with the top 10% of companies in the S&P 500. The excess earnings yield minus the 10-year Treasury rate is now negative for the first time since 2007. Since the October 2023 low, the market has made a year's worth of returns in 90 days.

Equities Shine Over Bonds

S&P 500's one-year trailing total return through the end of March was nearly triple the historical average of 11.8%. Long-term US Treasuries have been a loser of a decade for sure. Equity market returns have been well above average over the last five and ten years. The last two years have been below the long-term average.

S&P 500 Closes Its Best Quarter Since 2019 At Record High

Weekly Report: what happened at FFTY last week (0325-0329)?

S&P 500 Rockets To New High As Fed Confirms Rate Cuts Are Coming

Weekly Report: what happened at FFTY last week (0318-0322)?

One Week Left In Quarter, Q1 '24 S&P 500 Earnings Appear In Good Shape

One week left in quarter, Q1 '24 S&P 500 Earnings Appear In good shape. As of yet, there aren't very many red flags around S&p 500 earnings. Earnings growth for all but the utilities and real estate sectors are expected to be solid.

Central Banks Pause Hikes, Risk Assets Rally

Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis Central Banks Pause Hikes, Risk Assets Rally. The US Fed paused for the fifth consecutive meeting since July 2023. It's typical for risk assets to rally when central banks pause rate hiking efforts and start easing policy. Higher interest rates and yields are better for savers but net negative in highly indebted economies.

How High Can Stocks Go In 2024?

Home Market Outlook Today's Market How High Can Stocks Go In 2024? by Christopher Yates. Rising liquidity, a resilient economy and strong household balance sheets have supported corporate earnings and stocks over the past year. The 25% rally in the S&P 500 since October is a testament to the resilience of the US economy.

S&P 500 Investors Riding A Disappointing Roller Coaster

The second week of March 2024 resembled a disappointing roller coaster ride for investors. The S&P 500 climbed to a new record high of 5,175.27 on Tuesday, 12 March 2024. The index closed at 5,117.09, a small decline from the previous week's close. A shift in expectations for how frequent interest rate cuts will be during 2024.

Weekly Report: what happened at FFTY last week (0311-0315)?

Rotation

The S&P 500 closed at overbought levels for 40 straight days through the close on 3/14. Investors have been waiting for a broadening out of the rally. Not a single sector has seen 40 or more straight closes at oversold levels for as many days.