EM Debt 2024: Solid Beginnings

Emerging markets debt performed well in the first quarter of 2024, and we anticipate more of the same in the next quarter. We see selective value in high-beta, high-yield credit because we believe the global market environment will be conducive to its outperformance. Short-maturity bonds have outperformed but opportunities in longer bonds are appearing.

Emerging Markets - A Changed Asset Class?

Investors have traditionally considered emerging markets to be riskier than developed markets. Recent data point to significant changes in EM fixed income and equity markets. EMs remain resilient during recent DM hiking cycle. EM growth is not as dependent on China as it used to be. Investors may be getting more attuned to these shifts.

China's First Quarter 2024 GDP Beat Forecasts As Investment Picks Up

Fixed Income Investment Outlook Q2 2024: A Winding, Downward Path

Weekly Report: what happened at CBON last week (0408-0412)?

Where We Stand

Dollar Consolidates But Adjustment Is Not Over

Higher than expected US CPI for the third consecutive month drove US interest rates sharply higher and lifted the greenback broadly. The market appears to be catching its breath today, but the shallow consolidation suggests the moves are not over. The dollar has reached nearly JPY153.30. Gold fell by about $18.75 an ounce yesterday, its largest loss in about a month.

U.S. CPI, New Security Initiatives With Tokyo And Manila, Bank Of Canada Meeting

The dollar has been confined to narrow ranges ahead of the US CPI report. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand signaled that it was in no hurry to cut rates. The New Zealand dollar is leading the G10 currencies higher. The Hang Seng and the mainland companies in Asia are leading the region. Gold is consolidating in about $2345-$2360.

Emerging Markets Activity Expands At Fastest Pace In 10 Months

Emerging Markets Activity Expands At Fastest Pace In 10 months. Incoming new business for emerging market goods and services rose in March at the quickest pace since last May. India continues to lead growth in both the manufacturing and service sectors. In March emerging markets growth accelerated at the fastest pace since May 2024.

Broaden Your Investment Horizons

It may be time to look beyond the U.S. For equity market performance. Looser monetary and fiscal policy could add momentum to what already appears to be a global cyclical recovery. Europe could cut its interest rates sooner than the United States. Europe's manufacturing activity could get a boost from stimulus.

Weekly Report: what happened at CBON last week (0401-0405)?

Just Transition And Emerging Markets: Weighing The Risks

The concept of a "just transition" is gaining ground among investors concerned about the social risks of moving from fossil fuels to alternative energy sources. Coal- or oil-exporting countries with undiversified economies may face significant transition risks. These risks are particularly high in emerging markets. The Just Transition Index measures countries across a range of key indicators.

The Stock Market Is Partying Like It Is 2008

Home Market Outlook Today's Market The Stock Market Is Partying like It Is 2008 Desmond Lachman: The stock market is partying like it is 2008 even at a time of high interest rates. He says the market is ignoring the risk of heightened world trade tensions. The market is also ignoring the slow-motion train wreck in the commercial real estate sector.

Emerging Market Insights: Seeds Of Optimism

Rate Adjustment Underpins Greenback

VanEck China Bond ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.0408

Weekly Report: what happened at CBON last week (0325-0329)?

April 2024 Monthly

China's Long Game

Investing in China is a long shot. The country's primary engine of growth for the past 30 years is in dire straits. High-tech manufacturing, with a deep focus on clean energy, is the key to China's future. China already leads the world in clean energy manufacturing.

Waller Pushes On Open Door: Push For Patience Lifts The Dollar, Complicating Japanese Efforts

Comments by Fed Governor Waller, urging patience on rates has helped the greenback extend its recent gains. Poor German data has weighed on the euro, taking the single currency to new lows for the month. Japanese officials are signaling their willingness to intervene in the foreign exchange market to strengthen the yen. The 10-year US Treasury yield is up three basis points.