Delta Air Lines, Samsara And More On CNBC's 'Final Trades'

Belated March CPI Analysis

Rate Volatility's Market Implications

Higher-For-Longer Risk For Rates Drives Up Treasury Yields

Pre-FOMC: A Different Type Of Taper

Inflation Progress May Be Bumpy, But Is Likely To Continue

Weekly Market Pulse: Are Higher Interest Rates Good For The Economy?

Interest rates surged last week on the back of a hotter-than-expected inflation report. The rise in rates last week pushed the 10-year to its highest level since the peak at 5% in October of last year. Gold has been setting new highs, trading above $2400.

Earnings Growth Not Just About Tech

Weekly Report: what happened at VGSH last week (0408-0412)?

2 Things About The PPI: March Seasonal Adjustments Were Huge, And 3-Month Rates All Jumped

Producer Price Index jumped by 6.2% annualized in March from February. The three-month rate of the PPI jumped 7.8% in March, the highest since June 2022. Seasonal adjustments in March were much larger than in the years before the pandemic. The PPI is seasonally adjusted, and all three- month rates all jumped in March.

The Federal Reserve Needs To Raise Interest Rates 0.25%

The Federal Reserve needs to raise their Fed funds target rate by 0.25% at their May 1 meeting. The Fed's 2% inflation target is considered optimal for economic growth and stability. Current interest rates are not historically high, and there is no need for a rate cut. Inflation figures are trending up and employment numbers are strong.

Anatomy Of A Recession Update: What's Different About This Cycle?

Jeffrey Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard. He says immigration has increased the growth potential of the US economy more than usual. He also shares his views on US equities and the impact of the Magnificent Seven.

Beneath The Skin Of CPI Inflation, March: Inflation Behaves Very Badly, Saga Far From Over

Consumer Price Index for March was just as bad as in February. Inflation in "core services" jumped by 5.6% annualized in March from February. Ugly inflation in services drives up the 3-month overall CPI to worst since Nov 2022. The Fed has been in desperate search of confidence that inflation would cool after the Amazing Cooling.

Inflation, Poor Sales, And Fewer Jobs

The NFIB's reading on small business sentiment dropped to 88.5 in March. The index is the weakest reading since December 2012. The percentage of small firms reporting poor sales as their biggest issue is on the rise. Inflation and higher prices ticked higher in the survey. The most significant decline in hiring plans is down to the lowest levels since spring 2020.

Inflation Is Inevitable, You Must Act Now

Inflation is inevitable in the long term, and investors should prepare their portfolios for this environment. The current economic situation shares similarities with the period spanning from the Roaring Twenties to World War II. Gold, oil, and Bitcoin are expected to be good inflation hedges.

Algorithmic (High Frequency) Trading Rears Its Ugly Head Again

High frequency trading accounts for as much as 70% of the volume in stocks traded on the U.S. Exchange. Bill Kort says computers are scanning for good economic news and bad news for stocks. He says the downside of high frequency trading is that it creates fear and distrust in the market.

Playing Demographic Divergence Now

By 2050, one in six people globally will be over the age of 65. The number of people of working age is shrinking across developed markets but growing in emerging markets. Working-age populations are declining in major economies. We favor countries that are better adapting to the demographic shifts.

IShares Spring 2024 Investment Directions

Home Investing Strategy Portfolio Strategy IShares Spring 2024 Investment Directions. The U.S. Economy has evolved largely as we anticipated in our 2024 Year Ahead Outlook. BlackRock believes the Fed will deliver three rate cuts in 2024. Inflation is still stubbornly above the Fed’s target while economic growth is slowing.

Weekly Report: what happened at VGSH last week (0401-0405)?

Nothing In The Jobs Report Indicates The Fed Should Cut Rates: Labor Market Plugging Along Just Fine Despite 5.5% Rates

Nothing In The Jobs Report Indicates The Fed Should Cut Rates: Labor Market Plugging Along Just Fine Despite 5.5% Rates. Average hourly earnings rose in March at an annualized rate of 4.3%. The labor force rose by 469,000 in March to 167.9 million. In March, 303,000 payroll jobs were created - better than expected.