Higher-For-Longer Risk For Rates Drives Up Treasury Yields

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday conceded that inflation progress has stalled and the case for rate cuts has weakened. The 10-year Treasury yield is paying attention and rose to 4.67%, the highest since Nov. 6. The Treasury market has convinced the crowd to demand a higher yield.

Pre-FOMC: A Different Type Of Taper

The Federal Reserve is considering reducing the pace of quantitative tightening. The Fed's securities holdings have dropped from $8.5 trillion to $6.97 trillion. Kevin Flanagan says the Fed's ultimate goal is to have only Treasuries on its balance sheet. He says a "QT taper" is not on the immediate horizon.

Weekly Market Pulse: Are Higher Interest Rates Good For The Economy?

Interest rates surged last week on the back of a hotter-than-expected inflation report. The rise in rates last week pushed the 10-year to its highest level since the peak at 5% in October of last year. Gold has been setting new highs, trading above $2400.

Weekly Report: what happened at LMBS last week (0408-0412)?

2 Things About The PPI: March Seasonal Adjustments Were Huge, And 3-Month Rates All Jumped

Producer Price Index jumped by 6.2% annualized in March from February. The three-month rate of the PPI jumped 7.8% in March, the highest since June 2022. Seasonal adjustments in March were much larger than in the years before the pandemic. The PPI is seasonally adjusted, and all three- month rates all jumped in March.

Inflation Is Inevitable, You Must Act Now

Inflation is inevitable in the long term, and investors should prepare their portfolios for this environment. The current economic situation shares similarities with the period spanning from the Roaring Twenties to World War II. Gold, oil, and Bitcoin are expected to be good inflation hedges.

Playing Demographic Divergence Now

By 2050, one in six people globally will be over the age of 65. The number of people of working age is shrinking across developed markets but growing in emerging markets. Working-age populations are declining in major economies. We favor countries that are better adapting to the demographic shifts.

Weekly Report: what happened at LMBS last week (0401-0405)?

Finding Victories In A Confusing First Quarter For Global Markets

Weekly Report: what happened at LMBS last week (0325-0329)?

Riding The Convexity Wave In Securitized Credit

Home Investing Strategy Fixed Income Analysis Riding The Convexity Wave In Securitized Credit. Four areas of securitized products that offer interesting convexity anomalies or opportunities in the current rate environment. Agency Mortgage-backed Securities (MBS) are the least negative for the first time.

First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund IV - First Trust Low Duration Opportunities ETF declares $0.175 dividend

2024 Global Market Outlook - Q2 Update: Pent-Up Exuberance

Home Market Outlook Today's Market 2024 Global Market Outlook - Q2 Update: Pent-Up Exuberance. The U.S. Economy is expected to avoid a recession in 2024, but economic uncertainty remains high. The labor market is slowing down and lower-income households are under stress.

Weekly Report: what happened at LMBS last week (0318-0322)?

U.S. Fed Holds Policy Steady And Sticks With Three-Cut View For 2024

U.S. Fed Holds Policy Steady And Sticks With Three-Cut View For 2024. Federal Reserve left the Fed funds target rate range unchanged at 5.25-5.5%. In its updated economic projections, the Fed continues to forecast three rate cuts this year and is penciling in three cuts next year. With growth and inflation projections revised stronger, Fed believes interest rates will be higher over the longer term.

The Japanese Stock Rally May Have More Room To Run

"Abenomics," an ambitious economic plan created by late prime minister Shinzo Abe, laid the groundwork for today's Japanese stock rally. Attractive valuations, cash on the sidelines, and monetary policy could drive Japanese equities higher going forward. Abenomics was designed to pull the Japanese economy out of stagnation.

What A Higher U.S. Inflation Reading Could Mean For Interest Rates

U.S. Consumer prices ticked higher in February, raising questions about the Fed’s timeline for a potential interest rate cut in June. Alexandra Gorewicz, Vice President and Director for Active Fixed Income Portfolio Management at TD Asset Management, discusses the outlook for rates and the implications for markets. In February, the Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% for the month and 3.2% from a year earlier.

Weekly Report: what happened at LMBS last week (0311-0315)?

What The PPI Is Telling Us: Disinflation In 'Core Goods,' A Hefty Counterweight To Hot Services Inflation, May Be Over

Weekly Report: what happened at LMBS last week (0304-0308)?