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Macy's Lowered Sales Guidance. Retail Shares Are Slipping. -- Barrons.com

Barron's · 01/06/2023 17:16
Sabrina Escobar

Macy's stock fell on Friday after the department store lowered its sales guidance for the fourth quarter, warning that consumers will be pressured in 2023.

Macy's (ticker: M) is now expecting net sales to be at the low end to the midpoint of its previously issued range from $8.16 billion to $8.4 billion. The earlier outlook dates to a Nov. 17 earnings call for its fiscal third quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were forecasting sales to clock in at $8.3 billion for the quarter.

Adjusted earnings per share are still forecast to range from $1.47 to $1.67, while gross margins will also be in line with previous guidance, the company said in a press release. Macy's plans to release fourth-quarter and fiscal 2022 results in March.

"Black Friday/Cyber Monday sales were in line with our expectations, while the week leading up to and following Christmas were ahead," said CEO Jeff Gennette in a statement. "However, the lulls of the nonpeak holiday weeks were deeper than anticipated."

Heading into 2023, the company expects consumers will "continue to be pressured," especially in the first half of the year, Gennette said, a factor management took into account when planning inventories for the year.

Shares of Macy's fell 4.2% to $21.20 in after-hours trading on Friday. The company's update also dragged down shares of Nordstrom ( JWN), Dillard's ( DDS), and Kohl's ( KSS), which were off 2%, 0.4%, and 4.3%, respectively.

Although preliminary data suggest that holiday sales were overall solid this year, Macy's lowered guidance implies that Santa didn't favor all retailers equally when writing up his Christmas list. Indeed, analysts have long fretted that department stores could be left in the lurch as the industry undergoes what experts call "retail bifurcation," a process that has seen shoppers gravitate to stores on the extreme ends of the price scale.

Write to Sabrina Escobar at sabrina.escobar@barrons.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

January 06, 2023 17:16 ET (22:16 GMT)

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