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FOREX-Currencies on edge as traders assess risks from Poland

Reuters · 11/15/2022 22:59
FOREX-Currencies on edge as traders assess risks from Poland

By Kevin Buckland and Ankur Banerjee

- The safe-haven U.S. dollar firmed in volatile trading on Wednesday as markets took stock of geopolitical risks following of a Russian-made rocket striking NATO-member Poland.

U.S. President Joe Biden said early information suggested the blast in Poland may have been caused by a missile fired from Russia, even as the United States and its NATO allies investigated the blast, which killed two.

Russia denied it was responsible for the explosion but the report sparked turbulent trading overnight as fears of the war in Ukraine spilling over to its rattled investors.

Biden was speaking after global leaders held an emergency meeting on Wednesday following the deadly explosions that Ukraine and Polish authorities said were caused by Russian-made missiles.

"The market is trying to size up the risk and what that really means," said Moh Siong Sim, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore. "Is that something that is going to lead to further tension or perhaps this is something that will deescalate over the few days."

"Right , it's a bit of a tussle in the market as to how to price this risk," he added.

The turbulent trading saw major currencies swing between gains and losses, with the U.S. dollar index =USD, which measures the currency against six peers and weights the euro most heavily, rising as much as 0.31% to 106.76 before last trading 0.13% higher at 106.57.

The euro EUR=EBS was up 0.11% at $1.0361, having slipped 0.18% earlier in Asian trade. The currency saw similar moves overnight.

Sterling GBP=D3 was last trading at $1.1873, up 0.13% after reversing its losses from earlier in the day. The Japanese yen JPY= weakened 0.38% versus the greenback to 139.82 per dollar.

"The currency market is stabilising, toying with the that this was a stray missile or an intercepted missile and doesn't imply an escalation in the war, with NATO to get involved," said Rodrigo Catril, a senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank.

Risk-sensitive Antipodean currencies slipped, with Australian dollar AUD=D3 down 0.09% versus the greenback at $0.675, while the kiwi NZD=D3 fell 0.23% to $0.614.


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Currency bid prices at 0347 GMT

Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close
Previous
Session

Pct Change

YTD Pct
Change

High Bid

Low Bid

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.0359

$1.0351

+0.10%

-8.87%

+1.0387

+1.0331

Dollar/Yen

JPY=EBS

140.0450

139.3100

+0.57%

+21.81%

+140.1850

+138.9100

Euro/Yen

EURJPY=EBS

145.09

144.14

+0.66%

+11.33%

+145.2600

+143.5800

Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9456

0.9447

+0.11%

+3.67%

+0.9458

+0.9431

Sterling/Dollar

GBP=D3

1.1855

1.1868

-0.04%

-12.28%

+1.1886

+1.1834

Dollar/Canadian

CAD=D3

1.3285

1.3278

+0.08%

+5.11%

+1.3304

+1.3256

Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.6750

0.6756

-0.08%

-7.13%

+0.6771

+0.6733

NZ Dollar/Dollar

NZD=D3

0.6145

0.6158

-0.19%

-10.21%

+0.6168

+0.6132










All spots FX=

Tokyo spots AFX=

Europe spots EFX=

Volatilities FXVOL=

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX


(Reporting by Kevin Buckland and Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Edmund Klamann and Bradley Perrett)