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GLOBAL MARKETS-Blistering stock rally pauses for breath

reuters.com · 12/29/2021 07:12
GLOBAL MARKETS-Blistering stock rally pauses for breath

Adds graphic, updates prices

By Abhinav Ramnarayan

- A Christmas rally in European shares paused near five-week highs on Wednesday, as investors exercised a bit of caution going into the end of the year with Omicron coronavirus cases swelling globally.

Following a strong run over the festive season, stock market investors were looking to position more conservatively in the last few sessions of 2021 and pay a bit more attention to the uncertainty caused by the persistence of COVID-19 globally.

After a weak session in Asian stock markets, European stock markets opened a touch higher with the pan-European Stoxx 600 index .STOXX up 0.6%, capping a 5.58% rise this month so far.

But Wall Street futures were pointing to a bounce back and oil prices LCOc1 edged higher as optimism refused to be beaten down by concerns around the impact of Omicron on global economies. .N, nL1N2TD049

"The Omicron variant continues to rage and fails to register on this market, even as global cases topped a million for the second day running," strategists at SaxoBank said in a note.

Though they noted that the "blistering rally in equity markets" seems to have paused, the bounce back in the futures market has already erased some of the modest damage, they said.

While much of the economic optimism has centred on the United States, the main European stock index is up more than 16% this year so far, showing that the market is keeping faith in an economic recovery from the depths of the COVID-19 crisis.

The MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS, which tracks shares in 50 countries, was down slightly on the day but close to a five-week high hit in the previous session.

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European government bond yields remained near one-month highs, with Germany's 10-year borrowing costs DE10YT=RR holding at -0.235% and short-dated U.S. Treasury yields hovering near their highest since March 2020, suggesting that inflation expectations remain elevated.

French money manager Indosuez said it expected 4% global growth in 2022, with some risks due to the new variant's circulation but with economies still benefiting from a supportive monetary and generous fiscal policy.

Inflation would remain above central banks' targets at around 3.5% in the United States and 2.5% in Europe, it said.

Earlier, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS lost 0.3%, after six sessions of gains, following volatile U.S. trade.

There were losses in Hong Kong .HSI, down 0.99% and hurt by declines in mainland tech stocks, while Chinese blue chips .CSI300 shed 1.4%.

In China, the city of Xian entered its seventh day of lockdown on Wednesday after it reported 151 domestically transmitted COVID-19 infections with confirmed symptoms the prior day.

"Uncertainty over lockdowns and policy concerns mean there can still be downside for the broader China markets," said Selina Sia, head of Greater China equity research at Credit Suisse Private Banking.

"But on the other hand, we have seen that policy measures look to be shifting from tightening to easing."

The more cautious mood for equities helped the dollar firm slightly. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six peers =USD, was at 96.223, up from a low of 95.958 on Friday. FRX/

Gold was slightly lower with the spot price XAU= at $1,803.93 per ounce. GOL/

Graphic: Global asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn

Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Emerging markets http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV

Global asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn

Stocks position for a strong 2022https://tmsnrt.rs/3EzPRkT

(Reporting by Abhinav Ramnarayan, Additional reporting by Scott Murdoch, Editing by Alex Richardson and Nick Macfie)

((Abhinav.Ramnarayan@thomsonreuters.com; 0044 751 745 1044; Reuters Messaging: Twitter: @abhinavvr))