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FOREX-Dollar licks wounds after payrolls shock, focus turns to inflation

05/09/2021 20:37
FOREX-Dollar licks wounds after payrolls shock, focus turns to inflation

Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Kevin Buckland

- The dollar languished near a more than two-month low versus major peers on Monday as investors continued to assess the implications for monetary policy of a disappointing U.S. employment report, ahead of inflation data this week.

The U.S. created only a little more than a quarter of the jobs that economists had forecast last month and the unemployment rate unexpectedly ticked higher, pouring cold water on speculation the pandemic recovery could spark faster inflation that the Federal Reserve anticipates. nL1N2MT2XD

The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against six rivals, stood at 90.178, after dipping as low as 90.128 for the first time since Feb. 26.

Notably, the British pound GBP=D3 rallied 0.3%, rising as high as $1.4036 for the first time since Feb. 25, despite Scotland's leader saying another referendum on independence was inevitable after her party's resounding election victory. nL1N2MW04M

"The USD’s choppy downtrend can continue this week," Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategist Kim Mundy wrote in a client note, predicting a break above $1.22 for the euro.

"The unexpected slow recovery in the U.S. labour market reinforces the FOMC's patient approach to monetary policy," while "the improving global economic outlook is a medium-term weight on the USD."

The euro EUR=EBS rose 0.1% to $1.2172, earlier touching the highest since Feb. 26 at $1.2177.

The dollar was little changed at 108.57 yen JPY=EBS, not far from its lowest since April 27.

The Aussie dollar ticked 0.1% higher to $0.78535, close to Friday's more-than-two-month high of 0.7863.

Canada's loonie CAD=D3 rallied to a fresh 3-1/2-year high of $1.2111.

In cryptocurrencies, ether ETH=BTSP changed hands at $3,918.78 after reaching a record $3,985 on Sunday. The second-biggest digital token has rallied 41% so far this month.

Bigger rival bitcoin BTC=BTSP remained stuck around $58,000, consolidating after retreating as low as $47,004.20 on April 25 following its surge to a record $64,895.22 in the middle of that month.

Meanwhile, no. 4 virtual currency dogecoin languished around $0.56 after losing more than a third of its price on Sunday, when Elon Musk called the token a "hustle" during his guest-host spot on the "Saturday Night Live" comedy sketch TV show. nL1N2MW0KS

"Musk is probably happy to jump on the joke of what is a meme(coin), but investors are probably feeling real pain now," said Justin d'Anethan, Hong Kong-based head of Exchange Sales at Diginex, a digital asset exchange.

"The supply is essentially unlimited (for dogecoin), and so unsustainable long-term. It's a question of who will sell first and who will be left holding the bags."


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Currency bid prices at 0014 GMT

Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close
Previous
Session

Pct Change

YTD Pct
Change

High Bid

Low Bid

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.2167

$1.2163

+0.04%

-0.41%

+1.2177

+1.2150

Dollar/Yen

JPY=EBS

108.6920

108.6000

+0.08%

+5.22%

+108.6970

+108.4800

Euro/Yen

EURJPY=EBS

132.25

132.05

+0.15%

+4.20%

+132.2600

+132.0200

Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9006

0.9005

-0.02%

+1.76%

+0.9010

+0.9001

Sterling/Dollar

GBP=D3

1.4035

1.3989

+0.34%

+2.74%

+1.4043

+1.3984

Dollar/Canadian

CAD=D3

1.2114

1.2122

-0.05%

-4.85%

+1.2129

+1.2111

Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7859

0.7846

+0.18%

+2.18%

+0.7861

+0.7846

NZ Dollar/Dollar

NZD=D3

0.7293

0.7281

+0.21%

+1.60%

+0.7297

+0.7281










All spots FX=

Tokyo spots AFX=

Europe spots EFX=

Volatilities FXVOL=

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX


(Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Sam Holmes)

(([email protected];))