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FOREX-Dollar drops after U.S. jobs report chills rally

· 02/05/2021 15:43
FOREX-Dollar drops after U.S. jobs report chills rally

Updates prices, adds cryptocurrency gains

Euro up 0.7%

Dollar index down 0.5%

Jobs report interrupts dollar run

Year-to-date dollar index up 1.2%

By David Henry

- The dollar lost out to the euro after Friday's U.S. jobs report suggested that some traders may have over-played a stronger American recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

The euro EUR=EBS rose 0.7% to $1.2042 in its biggest daily gain in more than two months after the report, which Marc Chandler, strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said did more to force short-term traders to adjust long-dollar and short-euro positions than it changed the economic outlook for a U.S. recovery that is stronger than peers.

The dollar index =USD of a basket of currencies was down 0.5% at 91.028, but still holding a weekly gain of 0.6%.

"This forces some of the late dollar-longs out," Chandler said. "It doesn't really change what to expect for Q1 GDP in the U.S. Market positioning is a different story."

The report showed U.S. employment growth rebounded less than expected in January and job losses the prior month were deeper than initially thought, strengthening the argument for additional relief money to aid the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. [nL1N2KA34D]

The greenback was off 0.1% against the yen JPY=D3 at 105.42.

The more modest change against the yen, Chandler said, was consistent with yields on longer-term U.S. Treasuries edging up in reaction to the report and the support it gives for additional government spending to stimulate the economy. nL1N2KB2F0

The spread between yields on two-year and 10-year Treasuries, seen as an indicator of economic expectations, widened to as much as 106 basis points and the most since May 2017.

U.S. President Joe Biden cited the report as he and his Democratic allies pushed ahead with steps toward their $1.9 billion COVID-19 relief package, including a vote in the Senate and another expected in the House. The moves aim to secure the spending before special unemployment benefits expire on March 15. nL1N2KB0UF

Expectations for more stimulus also drove global stocks to a new record on Friday, as measured by MSCI's all-country world index .MIWD00000PUS. nL1N2KB25Q

Oil, too, rose toward $60 a barrel and hit their highest prices in a year on the outlook for an economic revival and supply curbs by producers. nL1N2KB097

Aggressive stimulus fuels expectations of higher inflation and adds to the market's interest in new consumer price data coming next week, analysts at ING wrote late on Friday. The impact on the dollar could come through what the price data say about interest rates after subtracting inflation, they said.

Analysts and investors have been weighing whether dollar strength this year has been a temporary reaction to a 7% loss in 2020 or is a longer-lasting shift away from dollar pessimism.

The dollar index is still up 1.2% this year. Its rise has been supported by higher longer-term U.S. Treasury yields, which prompted traders to position for massive fiscal spending.

Cryptocurrencies bitcoin and ether BTC=BTSP, ETH=BTSP appeared to benefit from the dollar's fall on Friday, rising 2% and 7%, respectively.

Futures on ether, also known as ethereum, will begin trading on Sunday evening on the CME derivatives exchange where bitcoin futures have traded since 2017. nL1N2KA2ER

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:06PM (2006 GMT)

Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close
Previous
Session

Pct Change

YTD Pct
Change

High Bid

Low Bid

Dollar index

=USD

91.0280

91.5270

-0.53%

1.164%

+91.6000

+91.0040

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.2042

$1.1961

+0.69%

-1.43%

+$1.2048

+$1.1952

Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

105.4150

105.5400

-0.15%

+2.02%

+105.7600

+105.3350

Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

126.94

126.25

+0.55%

+0.02%

+126.9800

+126.1700

Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.8995

0.9044

-0.54%

+1.67%

+0.9045

+0.8993

Sterling/Dollar

GBP=D3

$1.3728

$1.3673

+0.41%

+0.49%

+$1.3739

+$1.3666

Dollar/Canadian

CAD=D3

1.2769

1.2824

-0.43%

+0.27%

+1.2832

+1.2765

Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

$0.7668

$0.7601

+0.88%

-0.32%

+$0.7670

+$0.7583

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

1.0832

1.0816

+0.15%

+0.23%

+1.0835

+1.0808

Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.8771

0.8749

+0.25%

-1.86%

+0.8777

+0.8739

NZ Dollar/Dollar

NZD=D3

$0.7199

$0.7157

+0.57%

+0.24%

+$0.7204

+$0.7136

Dollar/Norway

NOK=D3

8.5300

8.6420

-1.17%

-0.54%

+8.6445

+8.5405

Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

10.2744

10.3350

-0.59%

-1.84%

+10.3435

+10.2620

Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

8.3744

8.4627

-0.32%

+2.17%

+8.4816

+8.3714

Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

10.0850

10.1170

-0.32%

+0.09%

+10.1410

+10.0836


World FX rateshttps://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

Dollar on course for best week in 3 monthshttps://tmsnrt.rs/3axHSYM

(Reporting by David Henry in New York and Ritvik Carvalho in London; Additional reporting by Kevin Buckland in Tokyo; Editing by Alexander Smith and Chizu Nomiyama)

((David.Henry@thomsonreuters.com; +1-332-219-1974; Reuters Messaging: david.henry.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))