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To own Altus Group, you need to believe in its pivot toward higher quality, recurring software and data revenue in commercial real estate, despite soft transaction activity and cautious client spending. The substantial issuer bid and insider buying do not change the near term earnings risk tied to slower VMS deal flow, but they can influence how much of that risk is reflected in the share count and per share metrics.
The substantial issuer bid of up to C$350,000,000 at C$50.00 to C$57.00 per share stands out as most relevant here, because it directly intersects with Altus Group’s existing focus on margin expansion and higher value software revenue. If executed meaningfully, the reduced share base could amplify the impact of any progress on recurring bookings and product adoption at a time when investors are closely watching the balance between growth investments and earnings volatility.
But against this backdrop of buybacks and insider interest, investors should still be aware of the risk that prolonged macro uncertainty and delayed client deals could...
Read the full narrative on Altus Group (it's free!)
Altus Group's narrative projects CA$655.8 million revenue and CA$212.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.7% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about CA$189.5 million from CA$22.8 million today.
Uncover how Altus Group's forecasts yield a CA$60.12 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.
Two members of the Simply Wall St Community estimate Altus Group’s fair value in a tight C$60.13 to C$62.62 range, highlighting how closely some private investors cluster their views. You can set those opinions against the risk that persistent cautious client spending and delayed VMS deals may keep revenue growth uneven and earnings hard to predict, and then decide which outlook you find more convincing.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Altus Group - why the stock might be worth as much as 13% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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