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To own Alamos Gold, you need to believe in its ability to grow production while keeping all in sustaining costs under control, especially as Island Gold and Magino are integrated. The recent London symposium mainly reinforces existing expectations by updating investors on this growth path, but it does not materially alter the key near term catalyst of continued project execution or the main risk of cost inflation and project underperformance.
Among recent announcements, the reaffirmation of 2025 production guidance at 580,000 to 630,000 ounces stands out in light of the London presentations, as it anchors the near term growth story investors are watching. With Q3 2025 sales of US$462.3 million and net income of US$276.3 million, the focus now is on whether ongoing operational delivery can sustain earnings momentum and support the longer term expansion narrative.
Yet behind the growth story, investors should be aware of the risk that rising all in sustaining costs could...
Read the full narrative on Alamos Gold (it's free!)
Alamos Gold's narrative projects $2.4 billion revenue and $797.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires 16.3% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $451 million from $346.7 million today.
Uncover how Alamos Gold's forecasts yield a CA$63.99 fair value, a 28% upside to its current price.
Seven different fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly C$28 to C$227.92 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. You are weighing these against a story that still hinges on Alamos successfully ramping up Island Gold and Magino, with any setback likely to flow through to both production and earnings expectations.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Alamos Gold - why the stock might be worth over 4x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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