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To own Sally Beauty, you generally need to believe it can translate its value-focused, professional assortment and ongoing cost savings into steady earnings despite slow top-line growth and intense competition. The latest fourth-quarter earnings beat supports that case in the near term, while the most immediate risk still looks tied to price-sensitive customers trading down in care and ancillary categories rather than to this single instance of insider selling, which does not materially alter the core thesis.
The company’s recent full year 2025 results, with net income rising to US$195.9 million and diluted EPS at US$1.89 on US$3.7 billion in sales, are especially relevant alongside the quarterly beat, as they frame how much operating progress is already embedded in expectations. Together with guidance for flat to slightly positive sales in 2026, these results interact directly with key catalysts such as expanding higher margin proprietary brands and digital initiatives to support modest earnings growth.
Yet, against this progress, the pressure from consumers trading down in key categories remains an issue investors should be aware of as...
Read the full narrative on Sally Beauty Holdings (it's free!)
Sally Beauty Holdings' narrative projects $3.8 billion revenue and $211.5 million earnings by 2028. This requires 1.3% yearly revenue growth and about a $17.5 million earnings increase from $194.0 million today.
Uncover how Sally Beauty Holdings' forecasts yield a $16.25 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$16 to US$26.19, showing how differently individual investors view Sally Beauty’s potential. Against that spread, the recent earnings beat sits alongside persistent risks from value-focused trade down behavior, which could influence how each of those views plays out over time.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Sally Beauty Holdings - why the stock might be worth just $16.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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