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To own Clarivate, you generally need to believe its data and analytics platforms can convert high customer retention into improving profitability and cash flow, despite recent revenue declines and ongoing losses. The new Cortellis Regulatory Intelligence AI Assistant strengthens the AI-driven workflow story but does not materially change the near term catalyst around broader AI adoption or the key risks from competition, execution on portfolio reshaping, and a still-leveraged balance sheet.
Among recent developments, Clarivate’s decision to launch a new US$500,000,000 share repurchase program in December 2024 stands out alongside this AI rollout. For some investors, that mix of returning capital while investing in AI-enabled products is part of the appeal, but it also heightens focus on whether Clarivate can improve earnings enough to comfortably support buybacks, service its debt load, and maintain investment in innovation.
However, investors should be aware that rising AI competition could still compress pricing and margins over time if Clarivate’s products fail to...
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Clarivate's narrative projects $2.5 billion revenue and $3.4 million earnings by 2028. This assumes a 0.1% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of about $436.7 million from -$433.3 million today.
Uncover how Clarivate's forecasts yield a $4.93 fair value, a 31% upside to its current price.
The Simply Wall St Community’s five fair value estimates for Clarivate range widely, from US$0.16 to US$15.69 per share, underscoring how far apart views can be. You can weigh those against the thesis that Clarivate’s AI driven product expansion may help differentiate its research and analytics platforms in a market where free and low cost data alternatives are putting pressure on traditional subscription models.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Clarivate - why the stock might be worth over 4x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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