Markets bet on whether President Trump will resign before his term is up

Barchart · 09/03/2025 04:18

Kalshi has reported 5,380 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will President Trump resign before his term is up?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 22% chance for "Before his term ends", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 22% probability.

If the President of the United States elected for the 2025-2029 term resigns the office, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 60,524 transactions since it was first opened on November 09, 2024. There are 27,781 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,795,634 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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