Markets bet on whether the U.S. will sanction Russia before Oct 2025

Barchart · 09/02/2025 04:18

Kalshi has reported 5,403 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the United States sanction Russia, Russian government officials, state-owned enterprises, or financial institutions before Oct 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 35% chance for "Before Oct 2025", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 44% probability.

If the U.S. sanctions Russia, Russian government officials, state-owned enterprises, or financial institutions before Oct 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 28,176 transactions since it was first opened on August 15, 2025. There are 17,915 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,638,104 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

This article contains syndicated content. We have not reviewed, approved, or endorsed the content, and may receive compensation for placement of the content on this site. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.