Optimistic Investors Push Reliance Global Holdings Limited (HKG:723) Shares Up 208% But Growth Is Lacking

Reliance Global Holdings Limited (HKG:723) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 208% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The annual gain comes to 133% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Forestry industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider Reliance Global Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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See our latest analysis for Reliance Global Holdings

What Does Reliance Global Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Reliance Global Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Reliance Global Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Reliance Global Holdings?

Reliance Global Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 43%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 77% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Reliance Global Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Reliance Global Holdings' P/S

Reliance Global Holdings' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Reliance Global Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Reliance Global Holdings (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Reliance Global Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.