Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited's (NSE:GMDCLTD) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St · 07/02 06:51

Gujarat Mineral Development (NSE:GMDCLTD) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 51% over the last three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Gujarat Mineral Development's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gujarat Mineral Development is:

11% = ₹6.9b ÷ ₹64b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every ₹1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn ₹0.11 in profit.

See our latest analysis for Gujarat Mineral Development

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Gujarat Mineral Development's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

On the face of it, Gujarat Mineral Development's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 13%, we may spare it some thought. Particularly, the exceptional 32% net income growth seen by Gujarat Mineral Development over the past five years is pretty remarkable. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Gujarat Mineral Development's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 25%.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:GMDCLTD Past Earnings Growth July 2nd 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Gujarat Mineral Development's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Gujarat Mineral Development Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Gujarat Mineral Development's three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 33%, meaning the company retains 67% of its income. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Gujarat Mineral Development is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Besides, Gujarat Mineral Development has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 30%. As a result, Gujarat Mineral Development's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 12% for future ROE.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Gujarat Mineral Development certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.