Is Sopharma AD (BUL:SFA) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St · 07/01 04:49

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Sopharma AD (BUL:SFA) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Sopharma AD's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2025 Sopharma AD had debt of лв430.8m, up from лв295.0m in one year. However, it does have лв52.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about лв378.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BUL:SFA Debt to Equity History July 1st 2025

How Strong Is Sopharma AD's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Sopharma AD had liabilities of лв793.1m due within a year, and liabilities of лв262.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of лв52.1m as well as receivables valued at лв458.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by лв544.7m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Sopharma AD has a market capitalization of лв1.20b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

Check out our latest analysis for Sopharma AD

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt to EBITDA of 3.1 Sopharma AD has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. But the high interest coverage of 7.2 suggests it can easily service that debt. Sadly, Sopharma AD's EBIT actually dropped 7.9% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Sopharma AD's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Sopharma AD actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Mulling over Sopharma AD's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Sopharma AD stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sopharma AD you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.