With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.2x Prodvinalco SA (BVB:VAC) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Romania have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 55x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
The earnings growth achieved at Prodvinalco over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Prodvinalco
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Prodvinalco would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 12% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 40% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Prodvinalco's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Prodvinalco maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Prodvinalco has 4 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Prodvinalco. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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