CNA Financial (NYSE:CNA) sheds 3.7% this week, as yearly returns fall more in line with earnings growth

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. But CNA Financial Corporation (NYSE:CNA) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 44% over five years, which is below the market return. But if you include dividends then the return is market-beating. Zooming in, the stock is up just 4.8% in the last year.

In light of the stock dropping 3.7% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

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To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, CNA Financial achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 8.5% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 8% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:CNA Earnings Per Share Growth June 10th 2025

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. This free interactive report on CNA Financial's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

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What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of CNA Financial, it has a TSR of 106% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

CNA Financial's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 13%. It has to be noted that the recent return falls short of the 16% shareholders have gained each year, over half a decade. More recently, the share price growth has slowed. But it has to be said the overall picture is one of good long term and short term performance. Arguably that makes CNA Financial a stock worth watching. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CNA Financial better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for CNA Financial that you should be aware of before investing here.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.