To the annoyance of some shareholders, FlexQube AB (publ) (STO:FLEXQ) shares are down a considerable 30% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 50% loss during that time.
After such a large drop in price, FlexQube may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in Sweden have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for FlexQube
For example, consider that FlexQube's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to worsen, which has repressed the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for FlexQube, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.FlexQube's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 13% drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for a contraction of 0.9% shows the industry is more attractive on an annualised basis regardless.
With this in consideration, it's no surprise that FlexQube's P/S falls short of its industry peers. However, when revenue shrink rapidly P/S often shrinks too, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment regardless. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth, which would be difficult to do with the current industry outlook.
FlexQube's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Machinery companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As expected, our analysis of FlexQube confirms that the company's severe contraction in revenue over the past three-year years is a major contributor to its lower than industry P/S, given the industry is set to decline less. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Although, we would be concerned whether the company can even maintain its medium-term level of performance under these tough industry conditions. For now though, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for FlexQube (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.