Are Red Sky Energy Limited's (ASX:ROG) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

Simply Wall St · 06/10 04:12

Red Sky Energy (ASX:ROG) has had a rough three months with its share price down 25%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Red Sky Energy's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

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How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Red Sky Energy is:

3.7% = AU$272k ÷ AU$7.3m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every A$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of A$0.04.

Check out our latest analysis for Red Sky Energy

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Red Sky Energy's Earnings Growth And 3.7% ROE

It is quite clear that Red Sky Energy's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 4.9%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Although, we can see that Red Sky Energy saw a modest net income growth of 17% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Red Sky Energy's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 34% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:ROG Past Earnings Growth June 10th 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Red Sky Energy is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Red Sky Energy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Red Sky Energy doesn't pay any regular dividends currently which essentially means that it has been reinvesting all of its profits into the business. This definitely contributes to the decent earnings growth number that we discussed above.

Summary

In total, it does look like Red Sky Energy has some positive aspects to its business. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Red Sky Energy.