Lovisa Holdings' (ASX:LOV) 36% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same five-year period

Simply Wall St · 04/15 20:13

Buying shares in the best businesses can build meaningful wealth for you and your family. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. To wit, the Lovisa Holdings Limited (ASX:LOV) share price has soared 309% over five years. And this is just one example of the epic gains achieved by some long term investors. Better yet, the share price has risen 11% in the last week. But this could be related to the buoyant market which is up about 5.9% in a week.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Lovisa Holdings investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

We've discovered 1 warning sign about Lovisa Holdings. View them for free.

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over half a decade, Lovisa Holdings managed to grow its earnings per share at 16% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 33% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:LOV Earnings Per Share Growth April 15th 2025

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Lovisa Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Lovisa Holdings the TSR over the last 5 years was 369%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Lovisa Holdings had a tough year, with a total loss of 18% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 2.4%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 36% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Lovisa Holdings you should be aware of.

Lovisa Holdings is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.