What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think HOCHTIEF (ETR:HOT) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Our free stock report includes 3 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in HOCHTIEF. Read for free now.If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for HOCHTIEF, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.058 = €563m ÷ (€25b - €15b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, HOCHTIEF has an ROCE of 5.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 11%.
See our latest analysis for HOCHTIEF
In the above chart we have measured HOCHTIEF's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for HOCHTIEF .
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at HOCHTIEF doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 15% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
Another thing to note, HOCHTIEF has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 60%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that HOCHTIEF is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 185% to shareholders in the last five years. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for HOCHTIEF (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
While HOCHTIEF may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.