Sumiken Mitsui Road Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:1776) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 12x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
We've discovered 4 warning signs about Sumiken Mitsui RoadLtd. View them for free.As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Sumiken Mitsui RoadLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Sumiken Mitsui RoadLtd
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Sumiken Mitsui RoadLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 43% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 17% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sumiken Mitsui RoadLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Sumiken Mitsui RoadLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Sumiken Mitsui RoadLtd has 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sumiken Mitsui RoadLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.