QXO (NYSE:QXO) shareholders have endured a 85% loss from investing in the stock a year ago

Simply Wall St · 04/14 18:29

As every investor would know, you don't hit a homerun every time you swing. But it would be foolish to simply accept every extremely large loss as an inevitable part of the game. We wouldn't blame QXO, Inc. (NYSE:QXO) shareholders if they were still in shock after the stock dropped like a lead balloon, down 87% in just one year. A loss like this is a stark reminder that portfolio diversification is important. Even if you look out three years, the returns are still disappointing, with the share price down40% in that time. Contrary to the longer term story, the last month has been good for stockholders, with a share price gain of 8.5%. We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

We've discovered 2 warning signs about QXO. View them for free.

QXO isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last year QXO saw its revenue grow by 4.3%. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. Nonetheless, it's fair to say the 87% share price implosion is unexpected.. We'd venture this growth was too low to give holders confidence that profitability is on the horizon. If and only if this company is still likely to succeed, just a little slower, this could be a good opportunity.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:QXO Earnings and Revenue Growth April 14th 2025

If you are thinking of buying or selling QXO stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered QXO's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. QXO's TSR of was a loss of 85% for the 1 year. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

Investors in QXO had a tough year, with a total loss of 85%, against a market gain of about 6.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand QXO better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for QXO that you should be aware of.

Of course QXO may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.