Investors Appear Satisfied With Moelis & Company's (NYSE:MC) Prospects

Simply Wall St · 01/07 11:48

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Capital Markets industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, Moelis & Company (NYSE:MC) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 5.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Moelis

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:MC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 7th 2025

How Has Moelis Performed Recently?

Moelis could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Moelis will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Moelis' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 15% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 37% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 22% per year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.2% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Moelis' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Moelis' P/S

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Moelis maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Capital Markets industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Moelis (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.