Lee Enterprises (NASDAQ:LEE) Has No Shortage Of Debt

Simply Wall St · 11/26 11:37

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Lee Enterprises, Incorporated (NASDAQ:LEE) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Lee Enterprises

What Is Lee Enterprises's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Lee Enterprises had US$452.7m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$13.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$439.3m.

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NasdaqGS:LEE Debt to Equity History November 26th 2024

How Strong Is Lee Enterprises' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Lee Enterprises had liabilities of US$110.5m due within a year, and liabilities of US$560.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$13.4m in cash and US$61.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$596.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$103.7m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Lee Enterprises would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Lee Enterprises shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.2 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. More concerning, Lee Enterprises saw its EBIT drop by 9.4% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lee Enterprises can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Lee Enterprises actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both Lee Enterprises's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also fails to instill confidence. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Lee Enterprises really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Lee Enterprises (including 2 which are a bit concerning) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.