When close to half the companies in the Communications industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Harmonic Inc. (NASDAQ:HLIT) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Harmonic
Recent revenue growth for Harmonic has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Harmonic's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Harmonic's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.0%. Revenue has also lifted 29% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Harmonic is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Harmonic maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Communications industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Harmonic that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.