Otter Tail Corporation's (NASDAQ:OTTR) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Simply Wall St · 11/26 11:26

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ:OTTR) as an attractive investment with its 11.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for Otter Tail as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Otter Tail

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:OTTR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 26th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Otter Tail's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Otter Tail's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.1%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 110% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 17% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Otter Tail is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Otter Tail's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Otter Tail (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Otter Tail. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).