Cenovus Energy (TSE:CVE) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Simply Wall St · 11/26 10:51

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSE:CVE) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Cenovus Energy

How Much Debt Does Cenovus Energy Carry?

As you can see below, Cenovus Energy had CA$7.30b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has CA$3.10b in cash leading to net debt of about CA$4.20b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:CVE Debt to Equity History November 26th 2024

How Healthy Is Cenovus Energy's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Cenovus Energy had liabilities of CA$6.38b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$18.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$3.10b as well as receivables valued at CA$2.98b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$19.0b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Cenovus Energy has a very large market capitalization of CA$40.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Cenovus Energy has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.44. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 18.6 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, Cenovus Energy's EBIT dived 13%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cenovus Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Cenovus Energy recorded free cash flow worth 79% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Cenovus Energy's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. But truth be told its EBIT growth rate had us nibbling our nails. Considering this range of data points, we think Cenovus Energy is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Cenovus Energy .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.