Insufficient Growth At Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE:AMR) Hampers Share Price

Simply Wall St · 11/26 10:14

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.9x Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE:AMR) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 36x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Alpha Metallurgical Resources

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:AMR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 26th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Alpha Metallurgical Resources' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Alpha Metallurgical Resources' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 46%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.7% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Alpha Metallurgical Resources is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Alpha Metallurgical Resources' P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Alpha Metallurgical Resources' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Alpha Metallurgical Resources, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.