Improved Earnings Required Before SLM Corporation (NASDAQ:SLM) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St · 11/26 10:09

SLM Corporation (NASDAQ:SLM) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 97%.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may still consider SLM as a highly attractive investment with its 9.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, SLM has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for SLM

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SLM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 26th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think SLM's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For SLM?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as SLM's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 118%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 20% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.6% per annum during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that SLM's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price move, SLM's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of SLM's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for SLM (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.