The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Veteranpoolen AB (publ)'s (NGM:VPAB B) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.
View our latest analysis for Veteranpoolen
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Veteranpoolen has an accrual ratio of -1.17 for the year to September 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of kr55m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of kr45.0m. Veteranpoolen shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Veteranpoolen.
Happily for shareholders, Veteranpoolen produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Veteranpoolen's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 46% annually, over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Veteranpoolen at this point in time. For example - Veteranpoolen has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Veteranpoolen's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.