WiseTech Global's (ASX:WTC) earnings growth rate lags the 35% CAGR delivered to shareholders

Simply Wall St · 11/25 23:22

We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. To wit, the WiseTech Global Limited (ASX:WTC) share price has soared 345% over five years. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. It's also up 9.6% in about a month.

Although WiseTech Global has shed AU$4.3b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

See our latest analysis for WiseTech Global

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, WiseTech Global achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 35% per year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 35%. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:WTC Earnings Per Share Growth November 25th 2024

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on WiseTech Global's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, WiseTech Global's TSR for the last 5 years was 349%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that WiseTech Global shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 89% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 35% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. Before spending more time on WiseTech Global it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.