Is Sino Land (HKG:83) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St · 11/25 23:10

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Sino Land Company Limited (HKG:83) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Sino Land

What Is Sino Land's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Sino Land had HK$5.11b of debt at June 2024, down from HK$5.37b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has HK$46.4b in cash, leading to a HK$41.3b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:83 Debt to Equity History November 25th 2024

A Look At Sino Land's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Sino Land had liabilities of HK$7.82b due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$6.21b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$46.4b and HK$7.88b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has HK$40.3b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Sino Land's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that Sino Land has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

In fact Sino Land's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 45% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sino Land's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Sino Land may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Sino Land's free cash flow amounted to 49% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Sino Land has HK$41.3b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So is Sino Land's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Sino Land (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.