Is Putian Communication Group (HKG:1720) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St · 11/25 22:52

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Putian Communication Group Limited (HKG:1720) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Putian Communication Group

What Is Putian Communication Group's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Putian Communication Group had debt of CN¥384.4m, up from CN¥352.3m in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥193.9m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥190.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1720 Debt to Equity History November 25th 2024

How Healthy Is Putian Communication Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Putian Communication Group had liabilities of CN¥416.5m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥174.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥193.9m and CN¥440.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥42.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that Putian Communication Group's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While we wouldn't worry about Putian Communication Group's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.9, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.3 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Putian Communication Group's EBIT was down 55% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Putian Communication Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Putian Communication Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Both Putian Communication Group's EBIT growth rate and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow were discouraging. But at least its level of total liabilities is a gleaming silver lining to those clouds. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Putian Communication Group's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Putian Communication Group (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.