Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (SHSE:605080) Current Share Price Momentum?

Simply Wall St · 11/25 22:39

Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods' (SHSE:605080) stock is up by a considerable 51% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods' ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods is:

8.0% = CN¥162m ÷ CN¥2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.08.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods' Earnings Growth And 8.0% ROE

On the face of it, Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods' ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.6%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. However, Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. So that could also be one of the reasons behind the company's flat growth in earnings.

As a next step, we compared Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods' performance with the industry and discovered the industry has shrunk at a rate of 3.4% in the same period meaning that the company has been shrinking its earnings at a rate lower than the industry. This does offer shareholders some relief

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:605080 Past Earnings Growth November 25th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 605080 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods' low three-year median payout ratio of 13%, (meaning the company retains87% of profits) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see higher growth than it has reported.

Additionally, Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management must have perceived that shareholders favor dividends over earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.