Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Shanghai Ziyan Foods (SHSE:603057) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Shanghai Ziyan Foods:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = CN¥327m ÷ (CN¥3.4b - CN¥1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Shanghai Ziyan Foods has an ROCE of 15%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 6.8% generated by the Food industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Ziyan Foods
In the above chart we have measured Shanghai Ziyan Foods' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Shanghai Ziyan Foods .
In terms of Shanghai Ziyan Foods' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 36% over the last five years. However it looks like Shanghai Ziyan Foods might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Shanghai Ziyan Foods has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 34% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Shanghai Ziyan Foods' reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 12% in the last year. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Shanghai Ziyan Foods has the makings of a multi-bagger.
Shanghai Ziyan Foods does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.