Despite an already strong run, Xinjiang East Universe Gas Co.Ltd. (SHSE:603706) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 23% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, Xinjiang East Universe GasLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.8x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 69x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Xinjiang East Universe GasLtd has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Xinjiang East Universe GasLtd
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Xinjiang East Universe GasLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Xinjiang East Universe GasLtd's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 40%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 73% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 39% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Xinjiang East Universe GasLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
Xinjiang East Universe GasLtd's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Xinjiang East Universe GasLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Xinjiang East Universe GasLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.