Runa Smart Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301129) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 11% is also fairly reasonable.
After such a large jump in price, Runa Smart Equipment may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Runa Smart Equipment
Runa Smart Equipment could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Runa Smart Equipment's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Runa Smart Equipment's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 47%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 20% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 321% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 27%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Runa Smart Equipment is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Runa Smart Equipment's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Runa Smart Equipment maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Electronic industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Runa Smart Equipment (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.