Here's Why Tosoh (TSE:4042) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Simply Wall St · 11/25 21:37

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Tosoh Corporation (TSE:4042) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Tosoh

How Much Debt Does Tosoh Carry?

As you can see below, Tosoh had JP¥183.2b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have JP¥144.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥39.1b.

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TSE:4042 Debt to Equity History November 25th 2024

How Strong Is Tosoh's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tosoh had liabilities of JP¥356.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥86.4b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥144.1b as well as receivables valued at JP¥303.5b due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

This state of affairs indicates that Tosoh's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the JP¥672.7b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Tosoh's net debt is only 0.28 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 3k times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Tosoh has boosted its EBIT by 54%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tosoh's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tosoh reported free cash flow worth 10% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

The good news is that Tosoh's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Zooming out, Tosoh seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Given Tosoh has a strong balance sheet is profitable and pays a dividend, it would be good to know how fast its dividends are growing, if at all. You can find out instantly by clicking this link.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.