Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Basis Corporation's (TSE:4068) Performance Completely

Simply Wall St · 11/25 21:03

The Basis Corporation (TSE:4068) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 2.5% over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, it would still be understandable if you think Basis is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.4x, considering almost half the companies in Japan's Telecom industry have P/S ratios above 0.9x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Basis

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4068 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 25th 2024

How Has Basis Performed Recently?

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Basis' revenue has been unimpressive. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to worsen, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Basis will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Basis will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Basis?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Basis' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 39% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 1.6%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's peculiar that Basis' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Despite Basis' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Basis revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Basis you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.