Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited (NSE:MAGADSUGAR) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 3.4% in the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Magadh Sugar & Energy's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 62x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Magadh Sugar & Energy has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Magadh Sugar & Energy
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Magadh Sugar & Energy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Magadh Sugar & Energy's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 74% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 391% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Magadh Sugar & Energy is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
Magadh Sugar & Energy's P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Magadh Sugar & Energy revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Magadh Sugar & Energy you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.