Birlasoft Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Simply Wall St · 10/26 02:10

Shareholders might have noticed that Birlasoft Limited (NSE:BSOFT) filed its second-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.0% to ₹571 in the past week. Revenues were in line with forecasts, at ₹14b, although statutory earnings per share came in 12% below what the analysts expected, at ₹4.52 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Birlasoft

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NSEI:BSOFT Earnings and Revenue Growth October 26th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, Birlasoft's 13 analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be ₹54.9b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to fall 11% to ₹19.95 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹55.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹22.40 in 2025. So there's definitely been a decline in sentiment after the latest results, noting the real cut to new EPS forecasts.

The average price target fell 5.4% to ₹662, with reduced earnings forecasts clearly tied to a lower valuation estimate. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Birlasoft at ₹800 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹540. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Birlasoft's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 3.4% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 12% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 15% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Birlasoft is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Birlasoft. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Birlasoft's future valuation.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Birlasoft going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Birlasoft you should know about.