Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shenzhen Baoming Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002992) With Shares Advancing 35%

Simply Wall St · 10/25 23:56

Shenzhen Baoming Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002992) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 6.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002992 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 25th 2024

How Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 57% gain to the company's top line. Revenue has also lifted 17% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.