Greenheart Group (HKG:94) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Simply Wall St · 10/25 22:21

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Greenheart Group Limited (HKG:94) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Greenheart Group

How Much Debt Does Greenheart Group Carry?

As you can see below, Greenheart Group had HK$403.3m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have HK$26.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$376.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:94 Debt to Equity History October 25th 2024

How Healthy Is Greenheart Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Greenheart Group had liabilities of HK$80.5m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$424.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$26.5m as well as receivables valued at HK$16.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$461.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$102.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Greenheart Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Greenheart Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Greenheart Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$68m, which is a fall of 43%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Greenheart Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$71m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through HK$28m in the last year. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Greenheart Group (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.