Winox Holdings Limited (HKG:6838) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%

Simply Wall St · 10/25 22:04

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Winox Holdings Limited (HKG:6838) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 53% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may still consider Winox Holdings as a highly attractive investment with its 4.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Winox Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Winox Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:6838 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 25th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Winox Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Winox Holdings?

Winox Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 57%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 42% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 22% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Winox Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Winox Holdings' share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Winox Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Winox Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Winox Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.