The three-year shareholder returns and company earnings persist lower as Cable One (NYSE:CABO) stock falls a further 3.7% in past week

Simply Wall St · 10/25 10:37

As an investor, mistakes are inevitable. But really bad investments should be rare. So consider, for a moment, the misfortune of Cable One, Inc. (NYSE:CABO) investors who have held the stock for three years as it declined a whopping 80%. That would certainly shake our confidence in the decision to own the stock. And over the last year the share price fell 40%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 13% in the last 90 days. This could be related to the recent financial results - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report. We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It's a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it's worth keeping in mind there's more to life than money, anyway.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Cable One isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Cable One

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years that the share price fell, Cable One's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 14% each year. The share price decline of 42% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 9.26.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:CABO Earnings Per Share Growth October 25th 2024

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Cable One's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 42% in the last year, Cable One shareholders lost 38% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 11% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Cable One (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

Cable One is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.